Recalibration based on setaside changes

GAMS/IntExtOpt.gms

@@ -84,8 +84,8 @@ $gdxin
 
  PARAMETER baseCost(crop);
  PARAMETER otherIntCost(crop);
- baseCost(crop) = prodCost(crop)*0.4;
- otherIntCost(crop) = baseCost(crop)*0.6 + otherICost;
+ baseCost(crop) = prodCost(crop)*0.35;
+ otherIntCost(crop) = baseCost(crop)*0.65 + otherICost;
  baseCost('pasture') = 0.03;
  otherIntCost('pasture') = 0.8 + otherICost;
                               

data/sims/ssp_params.csv

@@ -19,21 +19,21 @@ SSP2,CROP_TO_PASTURE_COST_FACTOR,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
 SSP3,CROP_TO_PASTURE_COST_FACTOR,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
 SSP4,CROP_TO_PASTURE_COST_FACTOR,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
 SSP5,CROP_TO_PASTURE_COST_FACTOR,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
-SSP1,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.6,3,1.8,2.4,2.7,
-SSP2,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.6,3,1.5,1.8,2.1,
-SSP3,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.6,3,0.8,1.5,2.1,
-SSP4,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.6,3,1.2,2.1,2.7,
-SSP5,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.6,3,0.8,1.2,1.8,
+SSP1,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.1,2.5,1.3,1.9,2.2,
+SSP2,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.1,2.5,1,1.3,1.6,
+SSP3,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.1,2.5,0.3,1,1.6,
+SSP4,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.1,2.5,0.7,1.6,2.2,
+SSP5,FERTILISER_COST_PER_T,beta,0.1,2.5,0.3,0.7,1.3,
 SSP1,INITIAL_PRICE_SHIFT,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
 SSP2,INITIAL_PRICE_SHIFT,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
 SSP3,INITIAL_PRICE_SHIFT,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
 SSP4,INITIAL_PRICE_SHIFT,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
 SSP5,INITIAL_PRICE_SHIFT,unif,0.8,1.2,,,,
-SSP1,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0008,0.0004,0.0005,0.0006,
-SSP2,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0008,0.0003,0.0004,0.0005,
-SSP3,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0008,0.0001,0.0002,0.0003,
-SSP4,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0008,0.0002,0.0004,0.0006,
-SSP5,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0008,0.0001,0.00025,0.0004,
+SSP1,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0007,0.00035,0.00045,0.00055,
+SSP2,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0007,0.00025,0.00035,0.00045,
+SSP3,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0007,0.00005,0.00015,0.00025,
+SSP4,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0007,0.00015,0.00035,0.00055,
+SSP5,IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR,beta,0,0.0007,0.00005,0.0002,0.00035,
 SSP1,IRRIGATION_EFFICIENCY,beta,0.4,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,
 SSP2,IRRIGATION_EFFICIENCY,beta,0.4,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,
 SSP3,IRRIGATION_EFFICIENCY,beta,0.4,0.6,0.42,0.45,0.48,

debug_config.properties

@@ -9,7 +9,7 @@ IS_CALIBRATION_RUN = true
 GENERATE_NEW_YIELD_CLUSTERS = false
 NUM_YIELD_CLUSTERS=8000
 
-END_TIMESTEP=0
+END_TIMESTEP=8
 TIMESTEP_SIZE=1
 
 INTERPOLATE_OUTPUT_YEARS = false

src/ac/ed/lurg/ModelConfig.java

@@ -227,9 +227,9 @@ public class ModelConfig {
 	public static final double CROP_TO_PASTURE_COST_FACTOR = getDoubleProperty("CROP_TO_PASTURE_COST_FACTOR", 1.0);
 	public static final double AGRI_LAND_EXPANSION_COST_FACTOR = getDoubleProperty("AGRI_LAND_EXPANSION_COST_FACTOR", 1.0);
 
-	public static final double CROP_INCREASE_COST = getDoubleProperty("CROP_INCREASE_COST", 0.1 * LAND_CHANGE_COST * AGRI_LAND_EXPANSION_COST_FACTOR);
+	public static final double CROP_INCREASE_COST = getDoubleProperty("CROP_INCREASE_COST", 0.09 * LAND_CHANGE_COST * AGRI_LAND_EXPANSION_COST_FACTOR);
 	public static final double PASTURE_DECREASE_COST = getDoubleProperty("PASTURE_DECREASE_COST", LAND_CHANGE_COST);
-	public static final double CROP_DECREASE_COST = getDoubleProperty("CROP_DECREASE_COST", 1.75 * LAND_CHANGE_COST);
+	public static final double CROP_DECREASE_COST = getDoubleProperty("CROP_DECREASE_COST", 1.65 * LAND_CHANGE_COST);
 	public static final double PASTURE_INCREASE_COST = getDoubleProperty("PASTURE_INCREASE_COST", 0.4 * LAND_CHANGE_COST * CROP_TO_PASTURE_COST_FACTOR * AGRI_LAND_EXPANSION_COST_FACTOR);
 	public static final double AGRI_EXPANSION_COST_BASE = getDoubleProperty("AGRI_EXPANSION_COST_BASE", 0.04 * LAND_CHANGE_COST * AGRI_LAND_EXPANSION_COST_FACTOR);
 	public static final double AGRI_EXPANSION_COST_BASE_MANAGED_FOREST = getDoubleProperty("AGRI_EXPANSION_COST_BASE_MANAGED_FOREST", 0.5 * LAND_CHANGE_COST * AGRI_LAND_EXPANSION_COST_FACTOR);
@@ -294,8 +294,8 @@ public class ModelConfig {
 	public static final double OTHER_INTENSITY_COST = getDoubleProperty("OTHER_INTENSITY_COST", 0.6);
 	public static final double OTHER_INTENSITY_PARAM = getDoubleProperty("OTHER_INTENSITY_PARAM", 3.22);
 
-	public static final double IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR = getDoubleProperty("IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR", 0.0004);
-	public static final double FERTILISER_COST_PER_T = getDoubleProperty("FERTILISER_COST_PER_T", 1.8); // $500/t, 18% N/t
+	public static final double IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR = getDoubleProperty("IRRIG_COST_SCALE_FACTOR", 0.00035);
+	public static final double FERTILISER_COST_PER_T = getDoubleProperty("FERTILISER_COST_PER_T", 1.6); // $500/t, 18% N/t
 	public static final double FERTILISER_MAX_COST = FERTILISER_COST_PER_T * MAX_FERT_AMOUNT/1000;
 	
 	public static final double DOMESTIC_PRICE_MARKUP = getDoubleProperty("DOMESTIC_PRICE_MARKUP", 1.0);